The economic dimension is no less dangerous. Any disruption in energy supplies or navigation through the Strait of Hormuz will raise oil prices and transportation and insurance costs, reflecting on production, prices, and the general budget. Therefore, diversifying supply sources and reviewing energy, food, and medicine stockpiles is not a temporary precautionary measure, but an essential part of national security.
Added to this is the battle for awareness; in times of crisis, rumors spread and confidence declines. Here, clear and rapid government communication, and providing accurate information in a timely manner, becomes a pillar for the cohesion of the internal front, which constitutes the first line of defense.
From reaction to proactivity: What is required today is a transition from following events day by day to proactive national risk management, based on specific scenarios, warning indicators, and clear responsibilities. Its features are summarized in five priorities:
1. Updating the national risk assessment through scenarios that include limited escalation, extended confrontation, and the expansion of the scope of engagement, with measures for each.
2. Strengthening coordination between military, security, and civilian institutions, and testing emergency plans to ensure the continuity of energy, water, health, communications, and transport services.
3. Fortifying the economy against external shocks with supply alternatives and well-thought-out measures that protect citizens and the most affected sectors.
4. Developing government communication to ensure a rapid response to rumors and clarity of official messages, away from exaggeration or downplaying.
5. Activating Jordanian diplomacy with Arab brothers and international partners to de-escalate and prioritize political solutions, while upholding the Kingdom's right to protect its security and interests.
Readiness is strength.. and avoiding war is a responsibility
The challenge is not in predicting the date of the war, but in preparing for its possibilities without accepting its inevitability. Effective diplomacy does not conflict with defensive readiness, and protecting borders is inseparable from protecting the economy, social stability, and the continuity of services.
Jordanian national security is not just a line of defense at the borders, but an integrated system that combines sovereignty, the economy, social cohesion, and institutional efficiency. The higher the chances of escalation, the greater the need for a state that prepares with a strategic mind, moves with political wisdom, and protects its interests firmly. What is required is not to wait for the crisis, but to prepare for it before it imposes its conditions.
