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Amman —

Last-minute diplomacy: Where does Jordan stand on the prospects of regional escalation?

In this landscape, Jordan adheres to a quiet diplomatic approach led by His Majesty King Abdullah II. Amman considers the ignition of its neighborhood a direct threat to its national security and to the prospects for development and stability in the region. Therefore, it has focused its efforts on warning international powers against betting on a military resolution, as the region's experiences show that this bet has often ended in weakening states, dismantling their institutions, and causing waves of displacement and reconstruction costs borne by everyone.

As for the field level, the state's position is declared: no battlefield on Jordanian soil or in its skies. Jordanian defenses have intercepted missiles and drones that entered its airspace in previous rounds of this confrontation. The Jordanian Armed Forces – the Arab Army, treats any airspace violation as an infringement on sovereignty, regardless of its source, and protects citizens from the consequences of an exchange of strikes in which Jordan has no part. This approach is based on the conviction that the citizen's security is a priority that takes precedence over the calculations of axes.

Amman believes that dismantling the current crisis begins at its roots. Ignoring central issues, the legitimate rights of peoples, and the rules of international law fuels cycles of violence and reproduces them. At the forefront of these issues is the Palestinian cause, as Jordan continues to work with brothers and international partners to protect Palestinian rights and prevent measures that change the status quo in the West Bank and Jerusalem, because the absence of a just political horizon keeps the region flammable at every crisis.

Jordan continues its contacts with regional and international partners to build a safety umbrella that prevents the region from being turned into an open field for settling scores or targeting navigation lines and energy supplies. Such targeting has an economic cost that reaches Jordan. The disruption of navigation and energy markets raises shipping, insurance, and import costs, and reflects on the citizens' livelihood. Aqaba, as the Kingdom's maritime gateway, is affected by what is happening in Bab al-Mandab and Suez, and Jordan is affected by energy markets through what is happening in the Strait of Hormuz.

Amman's message is that the sovereignty of states is not negotiable, and that regional security is interconnected. A new round of strikes or targeting of infrastructure will not create lasting stability; the most viable path is serious dialogue and diplomatic channels based on good neighborliness and equal sovereignty. International responsibility remains in favoring rational calculation over the decision to escalate, before the opportunity for de-escalation is lost. The cost of prevention is lower than the cost of treatment, and smaller states are the most harmed when the scope of conflict expands.

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