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Amman —

High War Bill.. and the Opposition Offers Nothing New

Israeli newspapers today present a harsh picture of the scale of human losses in the war, totaling 2,347 casualties among civilians and military personnel, including Israeli civilians killed since October 7, according to their claims, which amounted to approximately 1,029 civilians, while about 1,318 military personnel were killed in battles since the start of the war, including 1,153 from the Israeli army, in addition to casualties from civil preparedness teams, police, Shin Bet, and the Prison Service, as well as deaths related to the disability caused by the war.

These figures show that the war is no longer just a temporary military confrontation but has turned into a long-term war of attrition affecting society, the economy, the occupation army, and reserve forces, reshaping political life, and continuing the state of emergency, with the burden of this cost increasing as the state of emergency continues and reserve forces are called up, along with the accompanying burdens on families, the labor market, and the occupation army.

On another front, in these circumstances, the Israeli opposition enters the elections facing a clear dilemma. It criticizes the government of Benjamin Netanyahu, who leads the most extreme government, for managing the war and security failures, but it struggles to present a discourse that completely breaks with the security vision that has dominated Israel over the past years.

Israeli press articles also reveal that opposition leaders are trying to attract undecided voters and moderate right-wingers by emphasizing that the problem is not with military strength or security rigidity per se, but with the government's management of these issues. Thus, the electoral competition turns into a question of who can manage the crisis better, rather than a confrontation between two conflicting visions for the future of the conflict, meaning that it does not offer new political visions and strategies that end the conflict with the Palestinians through the establishment of an independent Palestinian state and withdrawal from occupied territories in Lebanon and Syria.

This dilemma is even more apparent in the opposition's handling of the Arab voice within Israel. Instead of building a discourse that restores Arab citizens' rights in political life, the opposition leaders' positions on the Sami Abu Shahadeh issue have reinforced the impression that the political difference space is narrowing for the Arab community, at a time when their electoral participation rate could be a decisive factor in determining the shape of the next government.

Therefore, the upcoming Israeli elections appear to be a dual test of the Israeli society's ability to cope with the cost of a long war and the opposition's ability to offer an alternative that goes beyond mere crisis management. The figures revealing the scale of losses pose a difficult question for the Israeli voter: after three years of fighting, is it necessary to continue the same path with greater efficiency, or to seek a different political and security path?

Overall, the answer to this question will not only determine the identity of the next government but may also determine Israel's direction in the coming years, towards continuing the war and depletion, or towards a deep review of the cost of the conflict, the limits of military power, and the feasibility of continuing the current path?

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