If the Israeli government with its extremist front continues to implement policies of de facto annexation, expansion of settlements, and systematic restrictions on Palestinians in the West Bank, plans for forced or soft displacement will turn from extremist party literature into government action plans, which represents a direct threat to Jordanian national security and sovereignty, as any erosion of the chances of establishing a Palestinian state or an attempt to export the crisis demographically and security-wise towards the East is a red line that touches the core of national stability.
This danger also extends to water and border security, especially with the rapid developments in southern Syria, as the existence of an extremist government that does not recognize international agreements will lead to an expansion of military field incursions, changes in infrastructure, and attempts to control water resources, turning water and food into tools of war and direct political pressure on neighboring countries, primarily Jordan, which is already facing severe water stress.
This extremist approach accelerates the erosion of red lines and the outbreak of comprehensive confrontations, as the far right historically tends to create a new field reality by testing the limits of regional patience, causing the accumulation of frictions, the overlap of miscalculations, and the slide of the region from limited confrontations to an open regional war that intertwines the calculations of regional and international powers.
With the international silence reinforcing the impression of the incapacity of international institutions to enforce the law, regional countries will seek new security alternatives outside traditional frameworks, which will reshape alliances and open the field for competing powers to fill the strategic vacuum and expand their influence, turning the Middle East into a more ferocious and complex international conflict arena.
The most dangerous long-term impact is the world's habituation to the exception and the normalization of the breach of international law, as when expansionist policies and violations escape accountability, the rules-based international system loses its justification for existence, and the rule becomes an exception, and the logic of sheer power prevails over the power of law, which threatens the entire global peace.
However, the review of these outcomes does not come out of pessimism or prediction of certainties, but the royal speech stands as a foresight compass that accurately distinguishes between warning and taking refuge in prophecies, as the dark future is not the destiny of the region provided that international knowledge is transformed into a decisive political act that includes an immediate halt to escalation, protection of civilians, stopping settlement and annexation policies, and serious investment in a political path that leads to a two-state solution in accordance with international resolutions.
His Majesty King Abdullah II has placed the world in front of a clear reality that the real danger does not lie only in the outbreak of war, but in the world's habituation to the possibility of its occurrence without action, and when habituation becomes an alternative to prevention and silence is a license for chaos, the red lines begin to fall one after another, and the world will then bear the consequences of what everyone knew, warned, and ignored.
